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☆ Bank of America's top global strategist warns of growing bubble risk in the stock market as the economy heads for a no-landing scenario — and shares 3 charts showing the market could be headed for tro
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-20 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +5 min

Read previewMichael Hartnett, Bank of America's top global strategist, thinks a no-landing scenario is the most-likely outcome for the US economy in the months ahead. That means the labor market would remain strong, but inflation would also stay above the Federal Reserve's long-term goal of 2%. While that's fine for now, Hartnett warns it's a path that eventually leads to trouble for the economy and stocks. "We say rising no landing risks = rising hard landing risks," Hartnett said in an April 11 note. The fund's price dipped below its 200-day moving average in 2020 and 2022, when the economy slowed and stocks underperformed.

Persons: —, Michael Hartnett, Hartnett, it's, Michael Landsberg Organizations: Service, Bank of America's, Business, Consumer, Bank of America, Landsberg Bennett, Wealth Management, Fed Locations: REITs, Ukraine

☆ 'We are still in a market bubble': A famed economist who called the 2008 recession warns the S&P 500 is as vulnerable as it was before its 25% fall in 2022 — and shares 3 signs of hidden weakness
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-16 | by ( William Edwards | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +6 min

Just because the current valuation backdrop isn't as extreme as 1999-2000, we are still in a market bubble, and valuations are even more stretched today than they were at the market peaks in 2007, 1990, and 1980." Rosenberg ResearchSecond, the S&P 500 is outperforming the HYG/TLT Ratio. AdvertisementRosenberg ResearchAnd third, even tech stocks, which have been overwhelmingly supporting the S&P 500, appear to be running out of gas, Rosenberg said. The same goes for Paul Dietrich, the chief strategist at B. Riley Wealth, who says the S&P 500 could fall 49% when the current bubble pops. The bull market has thrown egg onto their faces again and again: since the October 2022 lows, the S&P 500 is up a whopping 42%.

Persons: —, David Rosenberg isn't, Merrill Lynch, Rosenberg, he's, manias, HYG, Michael Hartnett, Jeremy Grantham, Paul Dietrich, Riley Wealth, Dietrich, Grantham, Carol Schleif Organizations: Service, Rosenberg Research, Business, Equity Model, Dow Jones, Dow Transports Index, Bank of America's, Bank, America, BMO Family Office

☆ The ETF flowdown: 2023 is back on pace to be a solid year
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-15 | by ( Kirsten Chang | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

watch nowDespite a sluggish start to the year, a record number of product launches and a red-hot November have put 2023 back on pace to be a solid year for ETFs. Roughly $1 trillion has gone into money market funds this year, but some are questioning whether the solid year-end stock rally will attract some of those flows back into equities. "You saw that enormous cash pileup going into money markets, and ETF flows were muted. "We talked about the money market funds," he said. He pointed to strong inflows into high-yield ETFs such as the iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) and SPDR Bloomberg High Yield Bond ETF (JNK) and SPDR Bloomberg Short Term High Yield Bond ETF (SJNK) — along with dividend ETFs such as the Pacer U.S. Cash Cows 100 ETF (COWZ).

Persons: Ben Slavin, BNY Mellon, CNBC's, Andrew McOrmond, McOrmond, it'll, SPDR, Slavin Organizations: BNY, WallachBeth, SPDR Bloomberg, Pacer, Cash, Tech, RSP Locations: outflows

☆ Why BlackRock's Rick Rieder says investors 'underestimate' active fixed income ETFs
▼ + stars: | 2023-11-05 | by ( Anna Gleason | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

BlackRock Chief Investment Officer of Fixed Income Rick Rieder said investors underestimate actively managed fixed income exchange-traded funds. He told CNBC's "ETF Edge" this week that one of his firm's newest fixed income funds, the BlackRock Flexible Income ETF (BINC), has outperformed peers because its allocations are based on current market opportunity. "The beauty of this active ETF is we can move around and take advantage of where the opportunity is," said Rieder, who manages roughly $2.6 trillion in fixed income assets. "I think active ETFs in fixed income, people underestimate." U.S. high yield credit follows at nearly 17%, then U.S. investment grade credit at approximately 14% of total allocations.

Persons: Rick Rieder, CNBC's, Rieder, BINC, … Organizations: BlackRock, Bond Locations: BlackRock, Brazil, Mexico, Europe

☆ Final Trades: PFE, HYG, ZM & DAL
▼ + stars: | 2023-10-09 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFinal Trades: PFE, HYG, ZM & DALThe final trades of the day with CNBC’s Melissa Lee and the Fast Money traders.

Persons: DAL, CNBC’s Melissa Lee Organizations: Fast Money

☆ Investors are shifting their bond bets into this type of ETF
▼ + stars: | 2023-08-02 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Investors appear to be growing more comfortable with the path for interest rates and are shifting their fixed income bets accordingly. The list of the most popular bond funds by inflows in recent weeks is dominated by large passive funds. The iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) and Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF (VGIT) have both been two of the 10 most popular ETFs of any type over the past month, according to FactSet's flow data. The iShares 3-7 year Treasury Bond ETF (IEI) and the Vanguard Intermediate-Term Bond ETF (BIV) have also seen sizable inflows recently. Broad bond funds will often have longer duration than short-term funds, even if there is no reference to time frame on the label.

Persons: Scott Chronert, Fitch, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Citi, Federal Reserve, Treasury Bond ETF, Treasury, Bond ETF, Bond Locations: outflows

☆ New ETFs give income investors different ways to play volatile bond yields in the second half
▼ + stars: | 2023-07-07 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

The Pimco Multisector Bond Active ETF (PYLD) launched in June, giving investors a way to follow one of the biggest names in fixed income during the volatile bond market. As the fixed income ETF market matures, major asset managers are trying their hand at multisector bond funds. Recent launches include Capital Group's U.S. Multisector Income ETF (CGMS) and BlackRock's Flexible Income ETF (BINC) , which is co-managed by Rick Rieder , the firm's chief investment officer for global fixed income. For financial advisors or investors who want to make investment decisions themselves, there are more targeted bond funds available. "There's a pretty long runway for investors to increase their allocation to fixed income.

Persons: Rick Rieder, Dan Ivascyn, Sonali Pier, D.J, Tierney, you've, Schwab, Schwab's Tierney Organizations: Treasury, Capital, Multisector, Pimco, CNBC, Schwab Asset Management, Fed Locations: Capital Group's, U.S, iShares

☆ Investors are shifting into high-yield ETFs with a potential Fed pause on the horizon
▼ + stars: | 2023-06-09 | by ( Jesse Pound | In Jesse-Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG) , brought in nearly $1.2 billion in cash over the past week, according to FactSet. Investors bought into the iShares Broad USD High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (USHY) . The interest in high yield debt comes ahead of next week's Federal Reserve meeting. "High yield's kind of in a sweet spot right now. The spread between high yield and safer debt could widen in coming months if the labor market continues to weaken, but the high yield market appears to be of better quality than in previous economic cycles, Silapachai said.

Persons: It's, Komson Silapachai, Silapachai Organizations: Investors, Sage Advisory, P Regional, Corporate Locations: Austin , Texas

☆ Final Trades: Energy Transfer, HYG, Nvidia, Sonos
▼ + stars: | 2023-05-03 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFinal Trades: Energy Transfer, HYG, Nvidia, SonosThe final trades of the day with CNBC’s Melissa Lee and the Fast Money traders.

☆ Here are 6 bullish surprises that could power the stock market through the rest of this year, according to Bank of America
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-14 | by ( Matthew Fox | ) www.businessinsider.com time to read: +4 min

There are six potential bull market surprises that could drive stocks higher, according to Bank of America. The bank highlighted the deflationary impact of ChatGPT and a potential end to the Russia-Ukraine war. "Bearish sentiment + $5 trillion of cash [is] still the 'best friends forever' for risk assets, especially stocks," Hartnett said. These are the six bullish surprises that could fuel more upside in the stock market this year, according to BofA. If any of the surprises play out, it could help the economy avoid a recession or see a soft landing rather than a hard landing, according to Hartnett, ultimately boosting the stock market higher.

☆ Final Trades: Amgen, Manhattan Assoc., HYG & TLT
▼ + stars: | 2023-04-05 | by ( Melissa Lee | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailFinal Trades: Amgen, Manhattan Assoc., HYG & TLTThe final trades of the day. With CNBC's Melissa Lee and the Fast Money traders.

☆ ETF trends reflect a wild first quarter for the stock market
▼ + stars: | 2023-03-27 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

It's the end of a wild first quarter for stock and bond investors, and ETF flows are reflecting that turmoil. The good news: Despite big market swings , equity and bond ETFs still saw overall inflows in the first quarter. ETF flows year to date: $70 billion inflows Consisting of: Equity: $24 billion inflows Fixed Income: $43 billion inflows Other (currency, etc. ): $3 billion inflows Source: ETF Store While that is still inflow, it is far less than has been typical in recent years. Much of that uncertainty can be seen in a notable pickup in money going into money market funds, traditionally a safe haven asset.

☆ Options Action: HYG nears pandemic lows
▼ + stars: | 2023-02-27 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

In this videoShare Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailOptions Action: HYG nears pandemic lowsOptimize Advisors' Mike Khouw looks at what's behind the downward move in HYG. With CNBC's Melissa Lee and the Fast Money traders, Tim Seymour, Bonawyn Eison and Guy Adami.

☆ Investors are jumping into bonds to start 2023, and these fixed income ETFs are hot
▼ + stars: | 2023-01-18 | by ( Jesse Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The renewed interest in fixed income comes after 2022 proving one of the worst years on record for fixed income investing, leading some to wonder whether the traditional portfolio of 60% stocks and 40% bonds may have outlived its usefulness. Surging interest in bonds is evident in fixed income ETFs, where cash has been pouring in during the first two weeks of the year. Last year, a record of $266 billion of cash flowed into fixed income ETFs, according to BlackRock. The iShares JP Morgan USD Emerging Markets bond ETF (EMB) also makes the top 10. For investors who are more cautious about the macroeconomic picture, there could still be solid returns in safer corners of the bond market.

Nov 21 (Reuters) - Investors are increasingly eyeing U.S. corporate credit offering attractive valuations and yields after steep declines in 2022, fund managers told the Reuters Global Markets Forum (GMF). "We are at the beginning of a rotation as investors come back into credit. iShares iBoxx Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (LQD.P) and iShares High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG.P) are on track for quarterly gains of more than 3% in the fourth quarter after falling 20% and 14% respectively this year. "If we're at this turning point then the entry level you get by buying investment-grade credit in the (United) States looks really attractive." The jump in bond yields, which move inversely to prices, has also made corporate credit more attractive to investors looking for income after years of low interest rates, Ramji said.

☆ U.S. equity funds face outflows for third successive week
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-14 | by ( ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

Oct 14 (Reuters) - U.S. equity funds suffered their third consecutive weekly outflow in the week ended October 12, as stocks were hit by concerns over a recession due to a rise in interest rates and inflation. Refinitiv Lipper data showed that U.S. equity funds faced outflows worth $2.1 billion in the week, after witnessing a combined total net sales of $11.1 billion in the previous two weeks. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterU.S. bond funds also witnessed outflows worth $4.9 billion, the biggest in two weeks, as bonds globally were sideswiped by a rout in British government bonds. U.S. inflation-linked bond funds had outflows worth $417 million, while, U.S. high-yield bond funds had an outflows of $876 million during the week. On the other hand, lower risk U.S. money market funds attracted an inflow of $5.8 billion, while U.S. government bond funds pulled in $3.7 billion.

☆ U.S. corporate bond ETFs plunge in global debt market rout
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-11 | by ( Davide Barbuscia | ) www.reuters.com time to read: +2 min

NEW YORK, Oct 11 (Reuters) - Some U.S. corporate bond indicators have hit or are approaching new lows this week as a rout in the UK bond market and U.S. inflation worries slammed global debt valuations. BlackRock’s iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (LQD.P) - a major exchange-traded fund tracking the U.S. investment-grade corporate bond market - fell to a low of $101.05 on Tuesday, its lowest since 2009. Its high-yield counterpart, BlackRock’s iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (HYG.P) fell to $70.92 on Monday, just a few cents away from hitting a new low since March 2020. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com RegisterLong-dated U.S. treasury yields, which move inversely to prices and tend to sway other debt markets, on Tuesday shot to multi-year highs, with a sharp sell-off in the UK bond market contributing to widespread market volatility. The Bank of England said it would buy up to 5 billion pounds of inflation-linked debt per day, starting on Tuesday, until the end of this week in an effort to stem the bond market collapse.

☆ Investors are dipping a toe back into high-yield ETFs. Here's what you need to know
▼ + stars: | 2022-10-09 | by ( Jesse Pound | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +5 min

Potentially, that marks the start of a reversal from this year's pattern, which has seen sharp outflows from high yield funds. High yield bond funds have been beaten down this year, like the rest of fixed income. FlexShares' offerings include the actively managed High Yield Value-Scored Bond Index Fund (HYGV) and the ESG & Climate High Yield Corporate Core Index Fund (FEHY) . To be sure, growing concerns about bankruptcies can hurt high yield investors, even if they never materialize. Because the underlying companies are also essentially investment funds, investors are paying management for both the companies and the ETFs.

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